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A |     黑色早评|2026年8月26日铁矿石铁矿供应端，上周全球铁矿发运略有回升，主要是澳洲和非主流发运有增，巴西发运有所回落。    LOS ANGELES -- Sales of previously occupied U.S. homes fell for the fourth month in a row in September, held back by surging mortgage rates and a thin supply of properties on the market.Existing home sales fell 2% last month from August to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.96 million, the National Association of Realtors said Thursday. That’s just above the 3.9 million unit pace that economists were expecting, according to FactSet.Sales sank 15.4% compared with the same month last year and are down 21% through the first nine months of the year versus the same period in 2022.Despite the housing market slump, home prices kept climbing versus a year ago. The national median sales price rose 2.8% from September last year to $394,300. It slipped 3.1% from August.“Clearly, the story of limited inventory and rising and rising mortgage rates continues to hinder the home sales market,” said Lawrence Yun, the NAR’s chief economist.The weekly average rate on a 30-year mortgage moved above 7% in August, when many of the home sales that were finalized in September would have gone under contract. It has remained above that threshold since, surging last week to 7.57%, the highest level since 2000, according to mortgage buyer Freddie Mac.High rates can add hundreds of dollars a month in costs for borrowers, limiting how much they can afford in a market already out of reach for many Americans. They also discourage homeowners who locked in rock-bottom rates two years ago from selling.While surging mortgage rates have shut out many prospective buyers, a chronic shortage of homes for sale continues to keep the market competitive, especially for the most affordable homes.Homes sold last month typically within just 21 days after hitting the market, and about 26% of homes sold for more than their list price, the NAR said.All told, there were 1.13 million homes on the market by the end of last month, up 2.7% from August, but down 8.1% from September last year, the NAR said. That amounts to just a 3.4-month supply, going by the current sales pace. In a more balanced market between buyers and sellers, there is a 4- to 5-month supply.。同期，国内港口铁矿到货量也有所减少，考虑到近期铁矿疏港量仍处高位，预计本周港口铁矿库存或将延续小降。国内矿方面，近期国内铁精粉产量略有下降，仍处同期低位。需求端，上周钢联高炉开工率延续小幅回升，但日均铁水小降0.52万吨至237.68万吨。同期钢厂盈利率再度回落至32.47%。钢厂铁矿库存继续小幅上升，因进口矿日...。

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